000			10242cam a2200169 a 4500
999			_c1324 _d1324
020			_a9781606238578 (pbk. : alk. paper)
020			_a9781606238585 (hbk. : alk. paper)
040			_cCUS
082	0	0	_a001.4 _bMOR/E
245	0	0	_aEvaluation in the face of uncertainty: anticipating surprise and responding to the inevitable / _cedited by Jonathan A. Morell
260			_aNew York : _bGuilford Press, _c2010.
300			_axvi, 303 p.ill. : _c24 cm.
505			_a1 From Firefighting to Systematic Action Adding "Surprise" to the Mix 1 Historical Roots: Evaluation, Planning, and System Behavior 2 From Explaining Surprise to Dealing with It 4 Development Path of This Book 6 Guiding Principles 8 How to Read This Book 12 In Sum 14 2 Structure of the Unexpected Where Does Surprise Come From? 17 Beyond Simple Distinctions 21 In Sum 26 3 Placing Surprise in the Evaluation Landscape When Is the Probability of Surprise High? 27 When Is Surprise Disruptive to Evaluation? 35 In Sum 44 4 Minimizing Foreseeable Surprise Theory: Using Explanatory Power and Simplified Relationships 48 Exploiting Past Experience: Capitalizing on What We Already Know 58 Limiting Time Frames to Minimize the Opportunity for Surprise 63 In Sum 67 5 Shifting from Advance Planning to Early Detection Leading Indicators 72 System-Based Logic Modeling 78 In Sum 81 6 Agile Evaluation Data 83 Agile Methodology 87 Retooling Program Theory 95 Agility and Stakeholder Needs 98 In Sum 98 7 How Much Is Too Much?: Appreciating Trade-Offs and Managing the Balance A Framework for Appreciating Design Trade-Offs 103 Maximizing Choice, Minimizing Risk 107 Evaluation Design 112 In Sum 113 8 Applying the Examples to Categories of Cases: The Life Cycle View "Unintended Consequences": Unity across Programs and Their Evaluations 116 Interpreting Cases through a Life Cycle Perspective 117 In Sum 123 9 Applying the Examples to Categories of Cases: The Social/Organizational View Navigating through the Cases 125 Placement of Cases on the Social/Organizational Map 131 Categorizations Derived from the Data 147 In Sum 154 10 Lessons from Individual Cases: Tactics for Anticipating Surprise In Sum 168 11 Lessons from Individual Cases: Responding to Surprise The Middle 169 Leading Indicators and Agile Evaluation 172 In Sum 176 12 Unanticipated Program Outcomes Case Descriptions 177 Applying the Cases to Unintended Program Outcomes 181 Comparing the Cases 183 Predicting the Need for Agile Evaluation 187 In Sum 191 13 Concluding Thoughts Case 1 Grasping at Straws and Discovering a Different Program Tfieory: An Exercise in Reengineering Analysis Logic in a Cfiild Care Evaluation Setting Dennis P. Afjholter Case 2 Sfiifting Sands in a Training Evaluation Context James W Altschuld and Phyllis M. Thomas Case 3 Evaluating Programs Aimed at Promoting Cfiild Well-Being: Tfie Case of Local Social Welfare Agencies in Jerusalem Anat Zeira Case 4 Assessing tfie Impact of Providing Laptop Computers to Students J. Dan Strahl, Deborah L. Lowther, and Steven M. Ross Case 5 Quasi-Experimental Strategies Wfien Randomization Fails: Propensity Score Matching and Sensitivity Analysis in Whole-School Reform Gary L. Bowen, Roderick A. Rose, and Shenyang Quo Case 6 Unexpected Changes in Program Delivery: The Perils of Overlooking Process Data When Evaluating HIV Prevention Bryce D. Smith, Danny Sprouse, and Kevin L DeWeaver Case 7 Evaluating Costs and Benefits of Consumer-Operated Services: Unexpected Resistance, Unanticipated Insights, and Deja Vu All Over Again Brian T. Yates Case 8 Keep Up with the Program!: Adapting the Evaluation Focus to Align with a College Access Program's Changing Goals Kristine L. Chadwick and Jennifer Conner Blatz Case 9 Assumptions about School Staff's Competencies and Likely Program Impacts Laura Hassler Lang, Christine E. Johnson, and Shana Goldwyn Case 10 Mixed Method Evaluation of a Support Project for Nonprofit Organizations Riki Savaya and Mark Waysman Case 11 Evaluating the Health Impacts of Central Heating Jeremy Walker, Richard Mitchell, Stephen Platt, and Mark Petticrew Case 12 Recruiting Target Audience: When All Else Falls, Use the Indirect Approach for Evaluating Substance Abuse Prevention Molly Engle Case 13 Unintended Consequences of Changing Funder Requirements Midproject on Outcome Evaluation Design and Results in HIV Outreach Services Lena Lundgren, Therese Fitzgerald, and Deborah Chassler Case 14 Generating and Using Evaluation Feedback for Providing Countywide Family Support Services Deborah L. Wasserman Case 15 Trauma and Posttraumatic Stress Disorder among Female Clients in Methadone Maintenance Treatment in Israel: From Simple Assessment to Complex Intervention Miriam Schiff and Shabtay Levit Case 16 From Unintended to Undesirable Effects of Health Intervention: The Case of User Fees Abolition in Niger, West Africa Valery Ridde and Aissa Diarra Case 17 Unintended Consequences and Adapting Evaluation: Katrina Aid Today National Case Management Consortium Amanda Janis and Kelly M. Stiefel Case 18 Evaluation of the Integrated Services Pilot Program from Western Australia Susanne Therese Bahn, Peter Hancock, and Trudi Cooper1 From Firefighting to Systematic Action Adding "Surprise" to the Mix 1 Historical Roots: Evaluation, Planning, and System Behavior 2 From Explaining Surprise to Dealing with It 4 Development Path of This Book 6 Guiding Principles 8 How to Read This Book 12 In Sum 14 2 Structure of the Unexpected Where Does Surprise Come From? 17 Beyond Simple Distinctions 21 In Sum 26 3 Placing Surprise in the Evaluation Landscape When Is the Probability of Surprise High? 27 When Is Surprise Disruptive to Evaluation? 35 In Sum 44 4 Minimizing Foreseeable Surprise Theory: Using Explanatory Power and Simplified Relationships 48 Exploiting Past Experience: Capitalizing on What We Already Know 58 Limiting Time Frames to Minimize the Opportunity for Surprise 63 In Sum 67 5 Shifting from Advance Planning to Early Detection Leading Indicators 72 System-Based Logic Modeling 78 In Sum 81 6 Agile Evaluation Data 83 Agile Methodology 87 Retooling Program Theory 95 Agility and Stakeholder Needs 98 In Sum 98 7 How Much Is Too Much?: Appreciating Trade-Offs and Managing the Balance A Framework for Appreciating Design Trade-Offs 103 Maximizing Choice, Minimizing Risk 107 Evaluation Design 112 In Sum 113 8 Applying the Examples to Categories of Cases: The Life Cycle View "Unintended Consequences": Unity across Programs and Their Evaluations 116 Interpreting Cases through a Life Cycle Perspective 117 In Sum 123 9 Applying the Examples to Categories of Cases: The Social/Organizational View Navigating through the Cases 125 Placement of Cases on the Social/Organizational Map 131 Categorizations Derived from the Data 147 In Sum 154 10 Lessons from Individual Cases: Tactics for Anticipating Surprise In Sum 168 11 Lessons from Individual Cases: Responding to Surprise The Middle 169 Leading Indicators and Agile Evaluation 172 In Sum 176 12 Unanticipated Program Outcomes Case Descriptions 177 Applying the Cases to Unintended Program Outcomes 181 Comparing the Cases 183 Predicting the Need for Agile Evaluation 187 In Sum 191 13 Concluding Thoughts Case 1 Grasping at Straws and Discovering a Different Program Tfieory: An Exercise in Reengineering Analysis Logic in a Cfiild Care Evaluation Setting Dennis P. Afjholter Case 2 Sfiifting Sands in a Training Evaluation Context James W Altschuld and Phyllis M. Thomas Case 3 Evaluating Programs Aimed at Promoting Cfiild Well-Being: Tfie Case of Local Social Welfare Agencies in Jerusalem Anat Zeira Case 4 Assessing tfie Impact of Providing Laptop Computers to Students J. Dan Strahl, Deborah L. Lowther, and Steven M. Ross Case 5 Quasi-Experimental Strategies Wfien Randomization Fails: Propensity Score Matching and Sensitivity Analysis in Whole-School Reform Gary L. Bowen, Roderick A. Rose, and Shenyang Quo Case 6 Unexpected Changes in Program Delivery: The Perils of Overlooking Process Data When Evaluating HIV Prevention Bryce D. Smith, Danny Sprouse, and Kevin L DeWeaver Case 7 Evaluating Costs and Benefits of Consumer-Operated Services: Unexpected Resistance, Unanticipated Insights, and Deja Vu All Over Again Brian T. Yates Case 8 Keep Up with the Program!: Adapting the Evaluation Focus to Align with a College Access Program's Changing Goals Kristine L. Chadwick and Jennifer Conner Blatz Case 9 Assumptions about School Staff's Competencies and Likely Program Impacts Laura Hassler Lang, Christine E. Johnson, and Shana Goldwyn Case 10 Mixed Method Evaluation of a Support Project for Nonprofit Organizations Riki Savaya and Mark Waysman Case 11 Evaluating the Health Impacts of Central Heating Jeremy Walker, Richard Mitchell, Stephen Platt, and Mark Petticrew Case 12 Recruiting Target Audience: When All Else Falls, Use the Indirect Approach for Evaluating Substance Abuse Prevention Molly Engle Case 13 Unintended Consequences of Changing Funder Requirements Midproject on Outcome Evaluation Design and Results in HIV Outreach Services Lena Lundgren, Therese Fitzgerald, and Deborah Chassler Case 14 Generating and Using Evaluation Feedback for Providing Countywide Family Support Services Deborah L. Wasserman Case 15 Trauma and Posttraumatic Stress Disorder among Female Clients in Methadone Maintenance Treatment in Israel: From Simple Assessment to Complex Intervention Miriam Schiff and Shabtay Levit Case 16 From Unintended to Undesirable Effects of Health Intervention: The Case of User Fees Abolition in Niger, West Africa Valery Ridde and Aissa Diarra Case 17 Unintended Consequences and Adapting Evaluation: Katrina Aid Today National Case Management Consortium Amanda Janis and Kelly M. Stiefel Case 18 Evaluation of the Integrated Services Pilot Program from Western Australia Susanne Therese Bahn, Peter Hancock, and Trudi Cooper
650		0	_aEvaluation Research (Social action programs)
650		0	_aSocial Service _xEvaluation.
700			_aMorell, Jonathan A ed.
942			_cWB16