Archer, David.

The long thaw: how humans are changing the next 100,000 years of earth`s climate/ David Archer - Princeton: Princeton Universities Press, 2009. - xi, 180 p. : ill., maps ; 22 cm.

SECTION I: THE PRESENT

Chapter 1. The Greenhouse Effect

Fourier and greenhouse theory Early CO2 measurements Arrhenius and the forecast. Climate science since then.

Chapter 2: We've Seen It with Our Own Eyes.

Testing the forecast Impacts already.

Chapter 3: Forecast of the Century.

A century-timescale climate spike Temperature, rainfall, sea level, and storms

SECTION II: THE PAST

Chapter 4: Millennial Climate Cycles.

Abrupt climate transitions, and climate cycles on millennial timescales. The Little Ice Age and the Medieval Optimum climates

Chapter 5: Glacial Climate Cycles

History of their discovery Ice flows and melts in quirky ways. Orbital forcing and CO2 forcing

Chapter 6: Geologic Climate Cycles.

Our ice age is unusual. The Earth is breathing.

Chapter 7: The Present in the Bosom of the Past.

Climate change so far and in the coming century, compared with deglaciation, abrupt climate change, the Eocene hothouse, the Paleocene/Eocene thermal maximum event, and the K/T boundary.

SECTION III: THE FUTURE

Chapter 8: The Fate of Fossil Fuel CO2 Reservoirs of carbon, breathing New carbon from fossil fuels equilibrates with the ocean and the land.

Chapter 9: Acidifying the Ocean.

CO2 is an acid CaCO3 is a base. Neutralization takes millennia. CO2 remains higher than natural for hundreds of millennia Chapter

10: Carbon Cycle Feedbacks.

The short-term prognosis. The long-term prognosis. Chapter

11: Sea Level in the Deep Future.

If the past is the key to the future, we have the capacity to raise sea level by 50 meters, eventually.

Chapter 12: Orbits, CO2 , and the Next Ice Age.

Interplay between orbital and CO2 climate forcings. The next ice age is about to be canceled.


Epilogue: Carbon Economics and Ethics.

What the options are and how we decide.

9780691136547


Climatic changes--Effect of human beings on
Climatic changes--Forecasting
Global warming
Global warming--Social aspects
Paleoclimatology

363.73874 / ARC/