Advancing Peace Research/

Part I. Who is this fellow? 1. The making of a peace researcher
Part Ii. Earlier evaluations of national security policy
2. The strategic dilemma: probability vs. Disutility
3. Stable deterrence and its limits Part Iii. Public dove and policy wonk
4. Control and reduction of armaments: hearing before a subcommittee of the committee on foreign relations, united states senate
5. Deterrence and shelters 6. Inter-nation influence: a formal model

Part Iv. Querulous and suggestive interventions
7. The incompleat theorist: insight without evidence
8. Escalation and control in international conflict: a simple feedback model
9. The peace researcher and foreign policy prediction

Part V. Conceptual and methodological inspirations
10. The historical experiment as a research strategy in the study of world politics
11.Variables, indicators, and data: the measurement problem in macro-political research Part Vi. From conventional concepts to operational indicators
12. The correlates of war project: continuity, diversity and convergence
13. Reconstructing the cow dataset on material capabilities, 1816-1985
14. Measuring the concentration of power in the international system
15. Militarized interstate disputes, 1816-1992: rationale, coding rules, and empirical patterns

Part Vii. Scientific research payoffs 16. Capability distribution, uncertainty and major power war, 1820-1965
17. Foreign policy indicators: predictors of war in history and in the state of the world message
18. Peace in the global system: displacement, interregnum, or transformation?

Part Viii. Sermons for the next generation
19. Nuclear confrontation: ambivalence, rationality, and the doomsday machine
20. Inter-state, intra-state, and extra-state wars: a comprehensive look at their distribution overtime, 1816-1997
21. "new wars" and rumors of "new wars"
22. The responsibilities of competence in the global village Appendix: curriculum vitae of J. David Singer